What it is
Fibonacci retracement is a charting tool. You pick a recent high and a recent low and draw horizontal lines at fixed percentages of the move between them:
- 23.6% โ shallow pullback
- 38.2% โ common
- 50% โ not a Fibonacci number, but used by tradition
- 61.8% โ the "golden ratio" level (ฯ โ 1)
- 78.6% โ deep pullback
Why people use it
Many traders watch these levels for pullbacks during an uptrend (or rallies during a downtrend), on the theory that markets often re-test percentages of a prior move before continuing.
There's no rigorous reason these specific percentages should "work" โ they come from the Fibonacci ratio (โ 0.618 and its complements). The fact that many traders watch them can create self-fulfilling reactions at those levels.
What it isn't
A Fibonacci retracement is a layout of lines. It doesn't tell you the stock will bounce โ only where bounces have a reputation for happening.